Where and when is Osaka vs Kitakyushu played?

Osaka vs Kitakyushu is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Osaka vs Kitakyushu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka

Osaka

Kitakyushu

The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Osaka vs Kitakyushu?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Osaka (1,716) and Kitakyushu (1,620).

Osaka win50 %

Draw26 %

Kitakyushu win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Kitakyushu have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(away)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Nara Club(away)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	4-2	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-1	J3 League

Kitakyushu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 18, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Osaka win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kitakyushu win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 19, 2025	Osaka 0-3 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Apr 5, 2025	Kitakyushu 1-0 Osaka	J3 League
Oct 19, 2024	Osaka 3-2 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Mar 20, 2024	Kitakyushu 0-0 Osaka	J3 League
Sep 24, 2023	Osaka 0-0 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Jul 16, 2023	Kitakyushu 0-0 Osaka	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Osaka vs Kitakyushu on Sep 19, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Osaka score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Osaka	1.6	1.5	1	12/15	9/15
Kitakyushu	1.1	1.9	2	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Osaka	3	1	2	0	7	5	5
15	Kitakyushu	2	0	2	0	2	2	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Kitakyushu?: The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is Osaka vs Kitakyushu played?: Osaka vs Kitakyushu is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.