Osaka vs Kitakyushu: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka
The Footlab AI model makes Osaka the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Osaka wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,135 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osaka vs Kitakyushu?
Osaka starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,668).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Osaka vs Kitakyushu
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Osaka
4-4-2- 9T. Shimada
- 95K. Isa
- 14S. Sumida
- 11G. Yoshida
- 10R. Kubo
- 17S. Morimura
- 6S. Tachino
- 25Riku Kuwako
- 5Y. Minakuchi
- 2K. Sakamoto
- 1H. Sugawara
Kitakyushu
4-3-3- 11Koh Seung-Jin
- 52M. Nishimura
- 37K. Yoshida
- 66D. Takahashi
- 18S. Hiramatsu
- 8M. Yoshinaga
- 3R. Kamihashi
- 28K. Yokokubo
- 30K. Fukumori
- 20S. Yasumitsu
- 31K. Otani
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 07:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Kitakyushu have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 2-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(home) | 1-2 | J-League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 0-2 | J3 League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kochi United(home) | 2-0 | J3 League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(home) | 1-3 | J-League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Osaka win, 2 draws, 3 Kitakyushu wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kitakyushu 3-1 Osaka | J3 League |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Osaka 0-3 Kitakyushu | J3 League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Kitakyushu 1-0 Osaka | J3 League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Osaka 3-2 Kitakyushu | J3 League |
| Mar 20, 2024 | Kitakyushu 0-0 Osaka | J3 League |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Osaka 0-0 Kitakyushu | J3 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kitakyushu score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osaka | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Kitakyushu | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (20 points from 12 matches) and Kitakyushu sit 16th (13 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Osaka | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 20 |
| 16 | Kitakyushu | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 13 |
A question about Osaka vs Kitakyushu?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Kitakyushu?
- The Footlab AI model makes Osaka the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Kitakyushu.
- Where and when is Osaka vs Kitakyushu played?
- Osaka vs Kitakyushu is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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