Osasuna vs Racing Santander: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea
The Footlab model makes Osasuna the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Osasuna (2,056) and Racing Santander (2,054).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osasuna have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Racing Santander have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Al Ain(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Osasuna win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Racing Santander win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Osasuna 2-0 Racing Santander | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Osasuna 0-1 Racing Santander | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2012 | Racing Santander 2-4 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Jan 15, 2012 | Osasuna 0-2 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Mar 13, 2011 | Osasuna 3-1 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Oct 31, 2010 | Racing Santander 4-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Osasuna vs Racing Santander on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Osasuna score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Racing Santander | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Racing Santander | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
- The Footlab model makes Osasuna the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Osasuna vs Racing Santander played?
- Osasuna vs Racing Santander is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Sadar, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.