Osasuna vs Racing Santander: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea
The Footlab AI model makes Osasuna the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 1-1. If Osasuna wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Osasuna (1,971) and Racing Santander (1,975).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Osasuna vs Racing Santander
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Osasuna
5-4-1- 17A. Budimir
- 7Moncayola
- 14Rubén García
- 8Iker Muñoz
- 11Kike Barja
- 27Íñigo Arguibide
- 24Catena
- 29Asier Osambela
- 35U. Santos
- 23Abel Bretones
- 13Aitor Fernández
Racing Santander
4-2-3-1- 21M. Zabiri
- 10Iñigo Vicente
- 23Iván Martín
- 20Sergio Canales
- 15Pablo García
- 18M. Prati
- 2Álvaro Mantilla
- 17Jorge Salinas
- 5Pablo Ramón
- 24J. Belocian
- 13Julen Agirrezabala
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osasuna have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Racing Santander have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 0-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 0-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-7 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Elche(home) | 3-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Osasuna wins, 0 draws, 3 Racing Santander wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Osasuna 2-0 Racing Santander | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Osasuna 0-1 Racing Santander | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2012 | Racing Santander 2-4 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Jan 15, 2012 | Osasuna 0-2 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Mar 13, 2011 | Osasuna 3-1 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Oct 31, 2010 | Racing Santander 4-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Osasuna vs Racing Santander on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Osasuna score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Racing Santander | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osasuna sit 13th in La Liga (8 points from 7 matches) and Racing Santander sit 16th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 8 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 7 |
A question about Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
- The Footlab AI model makes Osasuna the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Osasuna vs Racing Santander played?
- Osasuna vs Racing Santander is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Sadar, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.