Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stage Front Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Espanyol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Madrid wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Madrid starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (2,191 vs 1,960).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Espanyol
4-2-3-1- 9Roberto Fernández
- 28Javier Hernandez
- 4Urko González
- 8Edu Expósito
- 22Álex Calatrava
- 24T. Dolan
- 21Roger Hinojo
- 6L. Cabrera
- 23O. El Hilali
- 14Unai Núñez
- 13M. Dmitrović
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2- 7Lee Kang-In
- 11A. Lookman
- 10Álex Baena
- 20G. Simeone
- 5J. Cardoso
- 6Koke
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 22Álex Grimaldo
- 21C. Romero
- 17D. Hancko
- 13J. Oblak
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Espanyol have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico Madrid have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Espanyol win, 4 draws, 1 Atletico Madrid win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Atletico Madrid 4-2 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Espanyol 2-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Espanyol 1-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Atletico Madrid 0-0 Espanyol | La Liga |
| May 24, 2023 | Espanyol 3-3 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Atletico Madrid 1-1 Espanyol | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Espanyol score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Madrid score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Atletico Madrid | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Espanyol sit 15th in La Liga (7 points from 7 matches) and Atletico Madrid sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 16 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Espanyol.
- Where and when is Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid played?
- Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stage Front Stadium, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.