Villarreal vs Sevilla: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Sevilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villarreal wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal vs Sevilla?
Villarreal starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (2,184 vs 2,077).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villarreal vs Sevilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villarreal
4-4-2- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 7Gerard Moreno
- 11Ilias Akhomach
- 18P. Gueye
- 17T. Buchanan
- 16C. Macia
- 3A. Freeman
- 12Renato Veiga
- 8J. Foyth
- 15S. Mouriño
- 25P. Gulácsi
Sevilla
4-2-3-1- 9R. Ure
- 6L. Agoumé
- 24Y. Fofana
- 20Félix Correia
- 10Peque Fernández
- 11R. Vargas
- 5Andrés Castrín
- 17G. Suazo
- 2Juan Iglesias
- 4Kike Salas
- 1O. Vlachodimos
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 10:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sevilla have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elche(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-4 | La Liga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Levante(away) | 3-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Villarreal wins, 1 draw, 1 Sevilla win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Villarreal 2-3 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Sevilla 1-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| May 25, 2025 | Villarreal 4-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Sevilla 1-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | Villarreal 3-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Sevilla 1-1 Villarreal | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal vs Sevilla on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Sevilla | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarreal sit 10th in La Liga (12 points from 10 matches) and Sevilla sit 6th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 14 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
A question about Villarreal vs Sevilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal vs Sevilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Sevilla.
- Where and when is Villarreal vs Sevilla played?
- Villarreal vs Sevilla is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Cerámica, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.