Match

Ospitaletto vs Athletic Carpi: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 24Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto, Ospitaletto

OspitalettoAthletic Carpi

The Footlab AI model makes Ospitaletto the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Athletic Carpi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ospitaletto wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ospitaletto vs Athletic Carpi?

Ospitaletto starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,807 vs 1,684).

36%30%34%
Ospitaletto winDrawAthletic Carpi win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ospitaletto vs Athletic Carpi

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ospitaletto

4-3-3
  1. 14F. Galuppini
  2. 9F. Gobbi
  3. 77D. Stefanoni
  1. 28M. Panatti
  2. 16M. Gualandris
  3. 26G. Mondini
  1. 4R. Nessi
  2. 20M. Casali
  3. 15P. Parmiggiani
  4. 3M. Possenti
  1. 22A. Yazıcı

Athletic Carpi

4-3-3
  1. 90V. Vitale
  2. 18T. Carcani
  3. 83A. Sall
  1. 11F. Puletto
  2. 10F. Casarini
  3. 5M. Figoli
  1. 19M. Rossini
  2. 24Fabio Desole
  3. 4D. Zagnoni
  4. 7T. Cecotti
  1. 1Alessandro Scacchetti

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:55 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ospitaletto have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Athletic Carpi have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ospitaletto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Treviso(away)1-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Renate(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Novara(away)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Cittadella(home)0-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Athletic Carpi(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Athletic Carpi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Lumezzane(home)3-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Pergolettese(away)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026PRO Vercelli(away)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 27, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(home)0-3Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Novara(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Ospitaletto wins, 1 draw, 0 Athletic Carpi wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 17, 2026Athletic Carpi 2-2 OspitalettoSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto on Sep 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ospitaletto score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Carpi score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ospitaletto1.60.957/157/15
Athletic Carpi1.51.7210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ospitaletto sit 3rd in Serie C - Girone A (18 points from 9 matches) and Athletic Carpi sit 14th (9 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Ospitaletto953115618
14Athletic Carpi1023514209

A question about Ospitaletto vs Athletic Carpi?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ospitaletto vs Athletic Carpi?
The Footlab AI model makes Ospitaletto the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Athletic Carpi.
Where and when is Ospitaletto vs Athletic Carpi played?
Ospitaletto vs Athletic Carpi is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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