Ostrovets FC vs Uni Minsk: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen ASK, Astravets
The Footlab model makes Ostrovets FC the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Uni Minsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostrovets FC vs Uni Minsk?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Ostrovets FC (1,404) and Uni Minsk (1,334).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostrovets FC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Uni Minsk have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lida(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gomel II(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orsha(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Volna(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Smorgon(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Ostrovets FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Uni Minsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Ostrovets FC 3-2 Uni Minsk | 1. Division |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ostrovets FC 5-3 Uni Minsk | 1. Division |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Uni Minsk 3-1 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Ostrovets FC vs Uni Minsk on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ostrovets FC score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Uni Minsk score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostrovets FC | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Uni Minsk | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostrovets FC sit 12th in 1. Division (24 points from 21 matches) and Uni Minsk sit 13th (24 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ostrovets FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Ostrovets FC | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 31 | 24 |
| 13 | Uni Minsk | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 27 | 24 |
| 13 | Uni Minsk | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostrovets FC vs Uni Minsk?
- The Footlab model makes Ostrovets FC the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Uni Minsk.
- Where and when is Ostrovets FC vs Uni Minsk played?
- Ostrovets FC vs Uni Minsk is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen ASK, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.