Bembibre vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, Bembibre
The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palencia CF wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,993 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bembibre vs Palencia CF?
Palencia CF starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,718).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bembibre vs Palencia CF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bembibre
Not enough data to predict the Bembibre lineup.
Palencia CF
Not enough data to predict the Palencia CF lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 01:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bembibre have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Palencia CF have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salamanca II(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almazán(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bembibre win, 1 draw, 4 Palencia CF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Palencia CF 4-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Bembibre 1-4 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Bembibre 0-3 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Palencia CF 1-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Palencia CF 1-0 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Bembibre 3-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Palencia CF vs Bembibre on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bembibre score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bembibre | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Palencia CF | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bembibre sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (14 points from 7 matches) and Palencia CF sit 6th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bembibre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Palencia CF | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
A question about Bembibre vs Palencia CF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bembibre vs Palencia CF?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Bembibre.
- Where and when is Bembibre vs Palencia CF played?
- Bembibre vs Palencia CF is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027GuijuelovsVillaralbo
- Mar 21, 2027Cristo AtléticovsCultural Leonesa II
- Mar 21, 2027La Virgen del CaminovsArandina
- Mar 21, 2027Mirandés IIvsUnionistas II
- Mar 21, 2027Salamanca IIvsAlmazán
- Mar 21, 2027Atlético MansillésvsColegios Diocesanos
- Mar 21, 2027TuréganovsBurgos Promesas
- Mar 21, 2027Calasanz de SoriavsUD Santa Marta