Pamplona vs Eibar: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Beitikuntzea, Lizasoáin
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Pamplona. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,253 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pamplona vs Eibar?
Eibar starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (2,087 vs 1,911).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pamplona vs Eibar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pamplona
Not enough data to predict the Pamplona lineup.
Eibar
4-2-3-1- 9Jon Bautista
- 30Aleix Garrido
- 8Ander Madariaga
- 7Malcom Adu
- 10Jon Guruzeta
- 21Iván Gil
- 23Anaitz Arbilla
- 4Unai Elgezabal
- 24Juan Bernat
- 22Álvaro Rodríguez
- 13Jon Mikel
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 12:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pamplona have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Eibar have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Izarra(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Huarte(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Pamplona score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar score 2.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamplona | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Eibar | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Pamplona vs Eibar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pamplona vs Eibar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Pamplona.
- Where and when is Pamplona vs Eibar played?
- Pamplona vs Eibar is played on October 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Beitikuntzea, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.