Paris Saint Germain vs Lille: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parc des Princes, Paris
The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Lille. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Lille?
Paris Saint Germain starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (2,363 vs 2,148).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paris Saint Germain vs Lille
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3- 11M. Akliouche
- 10O. Dembélé
- 9Ferran Torres
- 87João Neves
- 17Vitinha
- 33W. Zaïre-Emery
- 2A. Hakimi
- 51W. Pacho
- 5Marquinhos
- 25Nuno Mendes
- 39M. Safonov
Lille
4-2-3-1- 18A. Ueda
- 6N. Bentaleb
- 17N. Mukau
- 7D. Bakwa
- 10H. Haraldsson
- 21B. André
- 4Alexsandro Ribeiro
- 15R. Perraud
- 22Tiago Santos
- 3N. Ngoy
- 1B. Özer
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paris Saint Germain have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lille have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 6-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Paris Saint Germain wins, 2 draws, 0 Lille wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Lille 2-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain 3-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Lille 1-1 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain 4-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Lille 1-3 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lille vs Paris Saint Germain on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paris Saint Germain score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lille score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Lille | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paris Saint Germain sit 6th in Ligue 1 (11 points from 6 matches) and Lille sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Paris Saint Germain vs Lille?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paris Saint Germain vs Lille?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Lille.
- Where and when is Paris Saint Germain vs Lille played?
- Paris Saint Germain vs Lille is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Parc des Princes, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.