Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Mans: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
The Footlab AI model makes Stade Brestois 29 the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Le Mans. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stade Brestois 29 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Mans?
On Elo ratings, Stade Brestois 29 has 2,025 points and Le Mans 1,989.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Mans
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1- 19L. Ajorque
- 13J. Chotard
- 8H. Magnetti
- 23K. Doumbia
- 9P. Mboup
- 17Mama Baldé
- 2B. Locko
- 4G. Lloris
- 70K. Lala
- 29L. Tousart
- 1E. Selvik
Le Mans
3-1-4-2- 14L. Mafouta
- 25D. Guèye
- 10J. Vercruysse
- 29L. Bretelle
- 76Y. Larouci
- 26R. Bamba
- 18L. Buadés
- 5H. Voyer
- 17S. Yohou
- 19D. Sidibé
- 98N. Kocik
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Brestois 29 have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Le Mans have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lille(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Angers(home) | 5-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Monza(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Stade Brestois 29 wins, 1 draw, 0 Le Mans wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Le Mans 2-2 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Brestois 29 score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Le Mans score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Le Mans | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Brestois 29 sit 10th in Ligue 1 (9 points from 7 matches) and Le Mans sit 16th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Mans?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Mans?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stade Brestois 29 the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Le Mans.
- Where and when is Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Mans played?
- Stade Brestois 29 vs Le Mans is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Francis-Le Blé, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.