PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven is a heavy favourite: 2,205 Elo points against 1,811, a 394-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1- 10K. Kostons
- 8T. Sommer
- 11D. Mbayo
- 22I. Cissoko
- 25T. Oosting
- 30R. Thomas
- 24N. Viergever
- 28S. Graves
- 3O. Aertssen
- 2S. Floranus
- 1J. Schendelaar
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1- 21S. Mijnans
- 20G. Til
- 24K. Sano
- 7R. van Bommel
- 5I. Perišić
- 31N. Fernandez
- 4A. Obispo
- 8S. Dest
- 17Mauro Júnior
- 2L. Geertruida
- 32M. Kovář
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PEC Zwolle have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; PSV Eindhoven have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-7 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 PEC Zwolle win, 0 draws, 5 PSV Eindhoven wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven 6-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Oct 4, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 0-4 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 3-1 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Oct 26, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven 6-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PEC Zwolle 1-7 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Nov 12, 2023 | PSV Eindhoven 4-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PEC Zwolle score 1.0 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; PSV Eindhoven score 2.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 1.0 | 2.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PEC Zwolle sit 16th in Eredivisie (4 points from 8 matches) and PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 19 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 4 |
A question about PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven played?
- PEC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at MAC³PARK Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.