Cambuur vs Fortuna Sittard: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
The Footlab AI model makes Fortuna Sittard the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Cambuur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fortuna Sittard wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cambuur vs Fortuna Sittard?
Fortuna Sittard starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,796).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cambuur vs Fortuna Sittard
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cambuur
4-2-3-1- 33M. Maertens
- 8N. Souren
- 10R. El Arguioui
- 11I. Hamache
- 15F. Kvam
- 17Ethan Apkakou
- 4I. Baouf
- 28M. Costarelli
- 14B. van Duijl
- 2D. Bouah
- 1T. Jansen
Fortuna Sittard
4-3-3- 52M. Ihattaren
- 9A. Descotte
- 25L. Zeefuik
- 23P. Brittijn
- 20É. Michut
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
- 12Ivo Pinto
- 3Rodrigo Guth
- 28Justin Quincy Hubner
- 6S. van Ottele
- 31M. Branderhorst
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambuur have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fortuna Sittard have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Genk(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cambuur wins, 0 draws, 4 Fortuna Sittard wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard 3-1 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Cambuur 1-2 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Fortuna Sittard 1-4 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Cambuur 2-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Dec 19, 2018 | Fortuna Sittard 2-1 Cambuur | KNVB Beker |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cambuur score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Sittard score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cambuur sit 13th in Eredivisie (8 points from 8 matches) and Fortuna Sittard sit 7th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Cambuur vs Fortuna Sittard?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cambuur vs Fortuna Sittard?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortuna Sittard the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Cambuur.
- Where and when is Cambuur vs Fortuna Sittard played?
- Cambuur vs Fortuna Sittard is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kooi Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.