Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Zambrów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pelikan, Łowicz
The Footlab model makes Pelikan Łowicz the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Olimpia Zambrów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Zambrów?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Pelikan Łowicz (1,654) and Olimpia Zambrów (1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelikan Łowicz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Olimpia Zambrów have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pelikan Łowicz win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Olimpia Zambrów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | Olimpia Zambrów 1-1 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Pelikan Łowicz 3-1 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Pelikan Łowicz 2-1 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Olimpia Zambrów 1-1 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Olimpia Zambrów 3-1 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Pelikan Łowicz 2-1 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Olimpia Zambrów vs Pelikan Łowicz on Mar 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelikan Łowicz | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Olimpia Zambrów | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pelikan Łowicz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Olimpia Zambrów | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Zambrów?
- The Footlab model makes Pelikan Łowicz the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Olimpia Zambrów.
- Where and when is Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Zambrów played?
- Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Zambrów is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pelikan, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Apr 17, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsWisła Płock II
- Apr 17, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsOlimpia Elbląg
- Apr 17, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsTroszyn
- Apr 17, 2027Mławianka MławavsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Apr 17, 2027Warta SieradzvsWidzew II
- Apr 17, 2027ŁomżavsSwit
- Apr 17, 2027WeszlovsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.