Olimpia Zambrów vs Pelikan Łowicz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Zambrów
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Zambrów the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Pelikan Łowicz. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Zambrów vs Pelikan Łowicz?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Olimpia Zambrów (1,702) and Pelikan Łowicz (1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Zambrów have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Pelikan Łowicz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Olimpia Zambrów win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Pelikan Łowicz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | Olimpia Zambrów 1-1 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Pelikan Łowicz 3-1 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Pelikan Łowicz 2-1 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Olimpia Zambrów 1-1 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Olimpia Zambrów 3-1 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Pelikan Łowicz 2-1 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Olimpia Zambrów vs Pelikan Łowicz on Mar 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Zambrów | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Pelikan Łowicz | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pelikan Łowicz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Olimpia Zambrów | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Zambrów vs Pelikan Łowicz?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia Zambrów the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Pelikan Łowicz.
- Where and when is Olimpia Zambrów vs Pelikan Łowicz played?
- Olimpia Zambrów vs Pelikan Łowicz is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Sep 26, 2026SwitvsŁomża
- Sep 26, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsJagiellonia II
- Sep 26, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsWeszlo
- Sep 26, 2026TroszynvsŁKS Łódź II
- Sep 26, 2026Widzew IIvsWarta Sieradz
- Sep 26, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsMławianka Mława
- Sep 26, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWigry Suwałki