Łomża vs Swit: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Łomża
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Swit. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Łomża vs Swit?
Łomża starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Łomża have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Swit have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Łomża win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Swit win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Swit 3-2 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Łomża 3-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Swit 1-3 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Łomża 1-1 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2024 | Swit 4-3 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Łomża 2-3 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Łomża sit 15th in III Liga - Group 1 (2 points from 5 matches) and Swit sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Swit | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Łomża vs Swit?
- The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Swit.
- Where and when is Łomża vs Swit played?
- Łomża vs Swit is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Apr 17, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Apr 17, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsWisła Płock II
- Apr 17, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsOlimpia Elbląg
- Apr 17, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsTroszyn
- Apr 17, 2027Mławianka MławavsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Apr 17, 2027Warta SieradzvsWidzew II
- Apr 17, 2027WeszlovsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.