Weszlo vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weszlo vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Weszlo starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Weszlo have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Swit(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Weszlo score 2.8 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 5; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weszlo | 2.8 | 0.4 | 3 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weszlo sit 1st in III Liga - Group 1 (15 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 16 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weszlo vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
- The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
- Where and when is Weszlo vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. played?
- Weszlo vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Apr 17, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Apr 17, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsWisła Płock II
- Apr 17, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsOlimpia Elbląg
- Apr 17, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsTroszyn
- Apr 17, 2027Mławianka MławavsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Apr 17, 2027Warta SieradzvsWidzew II
- Apr 17, 2027ŁomżavsSwit