Where and when is Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elbląg played?

Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elbląg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, Tomaszów Mazowiecki

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

Olimpia Elbląg

The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elbląg?

Lechia T. Mazowiecki starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,758 vs 1,637).

Lechia T. Mazowiecki win59 %

Draw21 %

Olimpia Elbląg win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Olimpia Elbląg have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(home)	4-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Mławianka Mława(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Łomża(home)	5-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Wisła Płock II(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Weszlo(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

Olimpia Elbląg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Widzew II(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Olimpia Elbląg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 30, 2026	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 0-0 Olimpia Elbląg	III Liga - Group 1
Nov 15, 2025	Olimpia Elbląg 2-5 Lechia T. Mazowiecki	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elbląg on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lechia T. Mazowiecki	2.0	1.9	2	13/15	12/15
Olimpia Elbląg	1.1	1.9	1	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	5	3	0	2	14	11	9
11	Olimpia Elbląg	5	2	1	2	9	9	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elbląg?: The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Olimpia Elbląg.
Where and when is Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elbląg played?: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.