Jagiellonia II vs Wisła Płock II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, Białystok
The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Wisła Płock II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Wisła Płock II?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Jagiellonia II (1,775) and Wisła Płock II (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Wisła Płock II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Jagiellonia II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Wisła Płock II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Wisła Płock II 0-4 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Jagiellonia II 1-1 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Wisła Płock II 1-1 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Jagiellonia II 2-3 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Wisła Płock II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jagiellonia II sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Wisła Płock II sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wisła Płock II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia II vs Wisła Płock II?
- The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Wisła Płock II.
- Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Wisła Płock II played?
- Jagiellonia II vs Wisła Płock II is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Apr 17, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Apr 17, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsOlimpia Elbląg
- Apr 17, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsTroszyn
- Apr 17, 2027Mławianka MławavsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Apr 17, 2027Warta SieradzvsWidzew II
- Apr 17, 2027ŁomżavsSwit
- Apr 17, 2027WeszlovsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.