Mławianka Mława vs Ząbkovia Ząbki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, Mlawa
The Footlab model makes Mławianka Mława the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Ząbkovia Ząbki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mławianka Mława vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Mławianka Mława (1,716) and Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mławianka Mława have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mławianka Mława win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Mławianka Mława 2-1 Ząbkovia Ząbki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Ząbkovia Ząbki 6-2 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Mławianka Mława vs Ząbkovia Ząbki on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mławianka Mława sit 14th in III Liga - Group 1 (4 points from 5 matches) and Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mławianka Mława vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?
- The Footlab model makes Mławianka Mława the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Ząbkovia Ząbki.
- Where and when is Mławianka Mława vs Ząbkovia Ząbki played?
- Mławianka Mława vs Ząbkovia Ząbki is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Apr 17, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Apr 17, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsWisła Płock II
- Apr 17, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsOlimpia Elbląg
- Apr 17, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsTroszyn
- Apr 17, 2027Warta SieradzvsWidzew II
- Apr 17, 2027ŁomżavsSwit
- Apr 17, 2027WeszlovsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.