Penybont vs Holywell: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Holywell. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penybont vs Holywell?
Penybont starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,983 vs 1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Penybont vs Holywell
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Penybont
4-3-3- 7N. Wood
- 23T. Walker
- 20M. Manga
- 4T. Mehew
- 8Owen Robert Pritchard
- 19R. Hill
- 32L. Shephard
- 6M. Davies
- 17D. Jefferies
- 33E. Vaughan
- 22A. Pennock
Holywell
4-3-3- 27M. Yonsian
- 18Caio Hughes
- 19J. Sconce
- 34R. Edwards
- 8T. Dogan
- 7T. Bibby
- 12Jack Tierney
- 6D. Sullivan
- 3M. Davies
- 2Casey Bedford
- 1A. Swindell
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Holywell have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Penybont win, 0 draws, 0 Holywell wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | Penybont 2-1 Holywell | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Holywell score 1.3 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Holywell | 1.3 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penybont sit 3rd in Premier League (30 points from 13 matches) and Holywell sit 16th (2 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 16 | Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 44 | 2 |
A question about Penybont vs Holywell?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penybont vs Holywell?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Holywell.
- Where and when is Penybont vs Holywell played?
- Penybont vs Holywell is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at SDM Glass Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.