Flint Town United vs Trefelin: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Essity Stadium, Y Fflint / Flint, Flintshire
The Footlab model makes Flint Town United the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Trefelin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flint Town United vs Trefelin?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Flint Town United (1,756) and Trefelin (1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flint Town United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Trefelin have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Flint Town United score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Trefelin score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flint Town United | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Trefelin | 2.6 | 1.4 | 7 | 3/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flint Town United sit 13th in Premier League (0 points from 4 matches) and Trefelin sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Flint Town United | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 | Trefelin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flint Town United vs Trefelin?
- The Footlab model makes Flint Town United the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Trefelin.
- Where and when is Flint Town United vs Trefelin played?
- Flint Town United vs Trefelin is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Essity Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.