Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon Town: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Old Road, Briton Ferry
The Footlab AI model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Briton Ferry. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon Town?
Caernarfon Town starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,999 vs 1,827).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Briton Ferry
4-3-3- 9T. Walters
- 20O. Anderson
- 11C. Hurford
- 8T. Price
- 16M. Bates
- 7R. Owen
- 15L. Cooper
- 2L. Bates
- 3D. Packer
- 18R. George
- 13W. Fuller
Caernarfon Town
4-3-3- 11A. Cieślewicz
- 9Z. Clarke
- 10O. Evans
- 6J. Canavan
- 14N. Edwards
- 19S. Bradley
- 16B. Nash
- 23C. Marriott
- 27R. Sears
- 5P. Mooney
- 13H. Thomas
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Briton Ferry have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 9-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Briton Ferry wins, 0 draws, 4 Caernarfon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 4-1 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Briton Ferry 2-5 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Briton Ferry 0-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 3-2 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry on Nov 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Briton Ferry score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briton Ferry | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 2.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Briton Ferry sit 11th in Premier League (12 points from 13 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 4th (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 26 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 12 |
A question about Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Briton Ferry.
- Where and when is Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon Town played?
- Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon Town is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Old Road, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.