Podbeskidzie vs Unia Skierniewice: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Unia Skierniewice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Unia Skierniewice?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Podbeskidzie (1,952) and Unia Skierniewice (1,912).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Unia Skierniewice have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Podbeskidzie win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Unia Skierniewice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice 1-4 Podbeskidzie | II Liga - East |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Podbeskidzie 3-0 Unia Skierniewice | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Unia Skierniewice vs Podbeskidzie on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Unia Skierniewice | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podbeskidzie sit 13th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Unia Skierniewice sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Unia Skierniewice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Unia Skierniewice?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Unia Skierniewice.
- Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Unia Skierniewice played?
- Podbeskidzie vs Unia Skierniewice is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Miedz LegnicavsStal Rzeszów
- Sep 19, 2026Lechia GdanskvsStal Mielec
- Sep 19, 2026NiecieczavsOdra Opole
- Sep 19, 2026Warta PoznańvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Sep 19, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsArka Gdynia
- Sep 19, 2026Polonia BytomvsRuch Chorzów
- Sep 19, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsŁKS Łódź
- Sep 19, 2026Polonia WarszawavsChrobry Głogów