Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań
The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Warta Poznań (1,884) and Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Poznań have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Puszcza Niepołomice have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Warta Poznań win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Puszcza Niepołomice 1-0 Warta Poznań | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Warta Poznań 0-2 Puszcza Niepołomice | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 4, 2020 | Warta Poznań 1-2 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Oct 22, 2019 | Puszcza Niepołomice 0-2 Warta Poznań | I Liga |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Warta Poznań 2-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Aug 11, 2018 | Puszcza Niepołomice 0-1 Warta Poznań | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Warta Poznań on May 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Poznań | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Poznań sit 6th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warta Poznań | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Puszcza Niepołomice.
- Where and when is Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice played?
- Warta Poznań vs Puszcza Niepołomice is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Miedz LegnicavsStal Rzeszów
- Sep 19, 2026Lechia GdanskvsStal Mielec
- Sep 19, 2026NiecieczavsOdra Opole
- Sep 19, 2026PodbeskidzievsUnia Skierniewice
- Sep 19, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsArka Gdynia
- Sep 19, 2026Polonia BytomvsRuch Chorzów
- Sep 19, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsŁKS Łódź
- Sep 19, 2026Polonia WarszawavsChrobry Głogów