Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów played?

Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom

Polonia Bytom

Ruch Chorzów

The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Ruch Chorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Polonia Bytom (1,837) and Ruch Chorzów (1,850).

Polonia Bytom win39 %

Draw24 %

Ruch Chorzów win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ruch Chorzów have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Bytom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	2-5	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	4-3	I Liga

Ruch Chorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Miedz Legnica(home)	0-2	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	0-2	I Liga
Jul 18, 2026	Karviná(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Polonia Bytom win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Ruch Chorzów win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	Polonia Bytom 0-1 Ruch Chorzów	I Liga
Jan 21, 2026	Polonia Bytom 0-4 Ruch Chorzów	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 24, 2025	Ruch Chorzów 1-1 Polonia Bytom	I Liga
Jan 17, 2025	Polonia Bytom 1-2 Ruch Chorzów	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 17, 2024	Polonia Bytom 1-1 Ruch Chorzów	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 14, 2023	Polonia Bytom 1-3 Ruch Chorzów	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Bytom	2.1	2.3	2	13/15	13/15
Ruch Chorzów	1.2	1.3	4	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Bytom sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Ruch Chorzów sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Polonia Bytom	5	1	2	2	11	14	5
15	Ruch Chorzów	4	1	1	2	2	5	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Ruch Chorzów.
Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów played?: Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzów is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.