Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia played?

Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce

Arka Gdynia

The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?

Arka Gdynia starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,898 vs 1,757).

Pogoń Siedlce win29 %

Draw26 %

Arka Gdynia win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Siedlce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Arka Gdynia have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

Arka Gdynia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Miedz Legnica(away)	0-2	I Liga
Aug 17, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(home)	3-0	I Liga
Aug 10, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	0-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	4-0	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Odra Opole(away)	1-0	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Pogoń Siedlce win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Arka Gdynia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2025	Pogoń Siedlce 1-1 Arka Gdynia	I Liga
Oct 20, 2024	Arka Gdynia 2-1 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia on Apr 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15
Arka Gdynia	1.2	1.5	6	4/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Arka Gdynia sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Arka Gdynia	5	3	0	2	8	4	9
14	Pogoń Siedlce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?: The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia played?: Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.