Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, Warszawa
The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Chrobry Głogów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Polonia Warszawa (1,884) and Chrobry Głogów (1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Warszawa have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Chrobry Głogów have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 5-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Polonia Warszawa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chrobry Głogów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa 1-0 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Chrobry Głogów 2-0 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Polonia Warszawa 4-2 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Chrobry Głogów 1-2 Polonia Warszawa | Cup |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Chrobry Głogów 1-2 Polonia Warszawa | I Liga |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Polonia Warszawa 1-1 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Warszawa | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Chrobry Głogów | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Warszawa sit 4th in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Chrobry Głogów sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Polonia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Chrobry Głogów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów?
- The Footlab model makes Polonia Warszawa the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Chrobry Głogów.
- Where and when is Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów played?
- Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Głogów is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Miedz LegnicavsStal Rzeszów
- Sep 19, 2026Lechia GdanskvsStal Mielec
- Sep 19, 2026NiecieczavsOdra Opole
- Sep 19, 2026PodbeskidzievsUnia Skierniewice
- Sep 19, 2026Warta PoznańvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Sep 19, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsArka Gdynia
- Sep 19, 2026Polonia BytomvsRuch Chorzów
- Sep 19, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsŁKS Łódź