Finland vs Poland: result 2-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on June 10, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Helsingin olympiastadion, Helsingfors
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What was the result of Finland vs Poland?
Finland won 2-1 on June 10, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 31′J. PohjanpaloFinland (pen.)
- 64′B. KällmanFinland
- 69′J. KiwiorPoland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Finland have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Poland have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2025 | Netherlands(home) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Lithuania(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Malta(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Greece(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2025 | Moldova(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Malta(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Lithuania(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Scotland(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Portugal(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Finland win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Poland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2020 | Poland 5-1 Finland | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Finland score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Poland score 1.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finland | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Poland | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Finland sit 3rd in World Cup - Qualification Europe (10 points from 8 matches) and Poland sit 2nd (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy