Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. played?

Wigry Suwałki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wigry Suwałki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki

Wigry Suwałki

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?

Wigry Suwałki starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,836 vs 1,666).

Wigry Suwałki win73 %

Draw16 %

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wigry Suwałki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Swit(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Ząbkovia Ząbki(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Troszyn(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Jagiellonia II(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 1

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Widzew II(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Swit(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Wigry Suwałki win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 29, 2025	Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 0-0 Wigry Suwałki	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 30, 2024	Wigry Suwałki 1-1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Wigry Suwałki on Mar 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wigry Suwałki	1.6	0.7	7	7/15	5/15
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	1.2	1.8	3	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wigry Suwałki sit 6th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Wigry Suwałki	5	2	3	0	5	2	9
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	5	0	1	4	7	14	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?: The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. played?: Wigry Suwałki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.