Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń played?

Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, Środa Wielkopolska

Polonia Środa

Elana Toruń

The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń?

Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,694).

Polonia Środa win66 %

Draw18 %

Elana Toruń win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Środa have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Elana Toruń have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Środa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(home)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2

Elana Toruń
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Polonia Środa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Elana Toruń win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	Elana Toruń 0-3 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 22, 2025	Polonia Środa 1-0 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2
May 24, 2025	Elana Toruń 3-1 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2024	Polonia Środa 4-2 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 16, 2024	Elana Toruń 2-3 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 23, 2023	Polonia Środa 1-3 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Środa	1.9	1.2	4	8/15	11/15
Elana Toruń	1.0	2.5	0	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Środa sit 1st in III Liga - Group 2 (15 points from 5 matches) and Elana Toruń sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	5	5	0	0	15	4	15
12	Elana Toruń	5	1	2	2	8	10	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Elana Toruń.
Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń played?: Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.