Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz played?

Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świnoujście

Flota Świnoujście

Unia Swarzędz

The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Flota Świnoujście. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Flota Świnoujście (1,722) and Unia Swarzędz (1,763).

Flota Świnoujście win36 %

Draw25 %

Unia Swarzędz win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flota Świnoujście have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Unia Swarzędz have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Flota Świnoujście
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	5-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Kalisz(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2

Unia Swarzędz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Kalisz(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Flota Świnoujście win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Unia Swarzędz win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Flota Świnoujście 2-2 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 4, 2025	Unia Swarzędz 0-1 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
Apr 19, 2025	Flota Świnoujście 2-3 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 20, 2024	Unia Swarzędz 4-1 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
May 18, 2024	Unia Swarzędz 4-0 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 28, 2023	Flota Świnoujście 2-4 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Flota Świnoujście	1.3	1.3	4	7/15	8/15
Unia Swarzędz	1.9	1.7	4	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Flota Świnoujście sit 5th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Unia Swarzędz sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Flota Świnoujście	5	3	1	1	10	3	10
11	Unia Swarzędz	5	2	0	3	6	9	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz?: The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Flota Świnoujście.
Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz played?: Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.