Where and when is Kalisz vs Kluczevia Stargard played?

Kalisz vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kalisz vs Kluczevia Stargard: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSRiR, Kalisz

Kalisz

Kluczevia Stargard

The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kalisz vs Kluczevia Stargard?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Kalisz (1,716) and Kluczevia Stargard (1,773).

Kalisz win33 %

Draw25 %

Kluczevia Stargard win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalisz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kluczevia Stargard have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kalisz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 5, 2026	Górnik Łęczna(away)	0-2	Cup

Kluczevia Stargard
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	4-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	3-3	III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kalisz	0.9	1.7	3	7/15	7/15
Kluczevia Stargard	2.1	1.7	2	12/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kalisz sit 8th in III Liga - Group 2 (8 points from 5 matches) and Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Kluczevia Stargard	5	3	2	0	15	10	11
8	Kalisz	5	2	2	1	5	4	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kalisz vs Kluczevia Stargard?: The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Kalisz.
Where and when is Kalisz vs Kluczevia Stargard played?: Kalisz vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.