Where and when is Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew played?

Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Września

Victoria Września

Lipno Stęszew

The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Victoria Września (1,691) and Lipno Stęszew (1,708).

Victoria Września win36 %

Draw25 %

Lipno Stęszew win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Września have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Lipno Stęszew have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Victoria Września
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(away)	0-5	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Luzino(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-5	III Liga - Group 2

Lipno Stęszew
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Lech Poznań II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Wda Świecie(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Victoria Września win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Lipno Stęszew win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Victoria Września 1-3 Lipno Stęszew	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 8, 2025	Lipno Stęszew 1-0 Victoria Września	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Victoria Września	1.1	1.7	4	8/15	9/15
Lipno Stęszew	1.3	1.7	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Victoria Września sit 16th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Lipno Stęszew sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	Victoria Września	5	1	0	4	4	14	3
17	Lipno Stęszew	5	0	1	4	5	11	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?: The Footlab model makes Lipno Stęszew the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Victoria Września.
Where and when is Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew played?: Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.