Lech Poznań II vs Wda Świecie: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Wda Świecie. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Wda Świecie?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Wda Świecie (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Wda Świecie have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Lech Poznań II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Wda Świecie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Wda Świecie 2-3 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Lech Poznań II 6-0 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Wda Świecie 1-1 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Lech Poznań II 1-0 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Wda Świecie vs Lech Poznań II on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznań II | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Wda Świecie | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Wda Świecie sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Wda Świecie?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Wda Świecie.
- Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Wda Świecie played?
- Lech Poznań II vs Wda Świecie is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsStargard Szczeciński
- Sep 26, 2026Polonia ŚrodavsElana Toruń
- Sep 26, 2026KaliszvsKluczevia Stargard
- Sep 26, 2026Bałtyk KoszalinvsGedania Gdansk
- Sep 26, 2026Flota ŚwinoujścievsUnia Swarzędz
- Sep 26, 2026LuzinovsNoteć Czarnków
- Sep 26, 2026Victoria WrześniavsLipno Stęszew
- Sep 26, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsGrom Nowy Staw