Lipno Stęszew vs Luzino: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Lipno Stęszew, Stęszew
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Lipno Stęszew. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Luzino?
Luzino starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lipno Stęszew have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Luzino have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 6-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lipno Stęszew win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Luzino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew 0-5 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Luzino 1-2 Lipno Stęszew | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Lipno Stęszew vs Luzino on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lipno Stęszew | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Luzino | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lipno Stęszew sit 17th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Luzino sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Luzino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lipno Stęszew vs Luzino?
- The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Lipno Stęszew.
- Where and when is Lipno Stęszew vs Luzino played?
- Lipno Stęszew vs Luzino is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsKotwica Kórnik
- Mar 20, 2027Elana ToruńvsKalisz
- Mar 20, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsFlota Świnoujście
- Mar 20, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsKluczevia Stargard
- Mar 20, 2027Gedania GdanskvsPolonia Środa
- Mar 20, 2027Victoria WrześniavsBałtyk Koszalin
- Mar 20, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsWda Świecie
- Mar 20, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsLech Poznań II