Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, Środa Wielkopolska
The Footlab model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Polonia Środa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Polonia Środa (1,872) and Sandecja Nowy Sącz (1,920).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Środa have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Sandecja Nowy Sącz have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sandecja Nowy Sącz score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Środa | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 1.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
- The Footlab model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Polonia Środa.
- Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz played?
- Polonia Środa vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz is played on September 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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