Pontypridd Town vs Carmarthen Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 15Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)USW Sports Park, Treforest, Pontypridd
The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Carmarthen Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,538 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Carmarthen Town?
On Elo ratings, Pontypridd Town has 1,625 points and Carmarthen Town 1,536.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontypridd Town vs Carmarthen Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontypridd Town
Not enough data to predict the Pontypridd Town lineup.
Carmarthen Town
Not enough data to predict the Carmarthen Town lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 04:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontypridd Town have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 30, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 4-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 4-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pontypridd Town wins, 0 draws, 2 Carmarthen Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Carmarthen Town 0-1 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Pontypridd Town 3-1 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Pontypridd Town 1-3 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Carmarthen Town 0-1 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Carmarthen Town 4-2 Pontypridd Town | Welsh Cup |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Pontypridd Town 2-0 Carmarthen Town | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Carmarthen Town vs Pontypridd Town on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pontypridd Town score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Carmarthen Town score 1.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontypridd Town | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Carmarthen Town | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0 | 14/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontypridd Town sit 1st in FAW Championship (27 points from 13 matches) and Carmarthen Town sit 10th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pontypridd Town | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 22 | 27 |
| 10 | Carmarthen Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 30 | 15 |
A question about Pontypridd Town vs Carmarthen Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontypridd Town vs Carmarthen Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Carmarthen Town.
- Where and when is Pontypridd Town vs Carmarthen Town played?
- Pontypridd Town vs Carmarthen Town is played on November 20, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at USW Sports Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 20, 2026Swansea UniversityvsTrethomas Bluebirds
- Nov 20, 2026Caerphilly Athleticvsllanelli AFC
- Nov 20, 2026Caerau (Ely)vsNewport City
- Nov 21, 2026Treowen StarsvsAfan Lido
- Nov 21, 2026Cardiff DraconiansvsAberystwyth Town
- Nov 21, 2026Pontardawe TownvsBaglan Dragons
- Nov 21, 2026Ynyshir AlbionsvsLlantwit Major