Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Cardiff Draconians. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aberystwyth Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth Town?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Cardiff Draconians (1,609) and Aberystwyth Town (1,670).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cardiff Draconians
Not enough data to predict the Cardiff Draconians lineup.
Aberystwyth Town
Not enough data to predict the Aberystwyth Town lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff Draconians have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Aberystwyth Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Radnor Valley(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Prestatyn Town(home) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Cardiff Draconians win, 0 draws, 1 Aberystwyth Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town 3-2 Cardiff Draconians | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians 3-1 Aberystwyth Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Aberystwyth Town vs Cardiff Draconians on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff Draconians score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aberystwyth Town score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff Draconians | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Aberystwyth Town | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff Draconians sit 13th in FAW Championship (9 points from 8 matches) and Aberystwyth Town sit 3rd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 19 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
A question about Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Cardiff Draconians.
- Where and when is Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth Town played?
- Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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