Match

Pontardawe Town vs Llantwit Major: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 27Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parc Ynysderw, Swansea

Pontardawe TownLlantwit Major

The Footlab model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontardawe Town vs Llantwit Major?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Pontardawe Town (1,467) and Llantwit Major (1,483).

Pontardawe Town win53 %
Draw21 %
Llantwit Major win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontardawe Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Llantwit Major have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontardawe Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Afan Lido(away)0-1FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026Newport City(home)0-4FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026Pontypridd Town(away)2-3FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Caerphilly Athletic(home)3-0FAW Championship
Apr 20, 2024Baglan Dragons(away)2-1FAW Championship
Llantwit Major
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Aberystwyth Town(away)1-5FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026Baglan Dragons(home)0-1FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026Afan Lido(away)0-5FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Swansea University(home)0-3FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026Cambrian & Clydach(home)1-3FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Pontardawe Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Llantwit Major win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 23, 2024Llantwit Major 0-0 Pontardawe TownFAW Championship
Dec 16, 2023Pontardawe Town 3-2 Llantwit MajorFAW Championship
Jan 28, 2023Llantwit Major 4-1 Pontardawe TownFAW Championship
Oct 22, 2022Pontardawe Town 0-3 Llantwit MajorFAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Llantwit Major vs Pontardawe Town on Mar 23, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Pontardawe Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Llantwit Major score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pontardawe Town1.32.137/1510/15
Llantwit Major1.52.5110/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontardawe Town sit 13th in FAW Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Llantwit Major sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Pontardawe Town4103583
16Llantwit Major40041140

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontardawe Town vs Llantwit Major?
The Footlab model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Llantwit Major.
Where and when is Pontardawe Town vs Llantwit Major played?
Pontardawe Town vs Llantwit Major is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parc Ynysderw, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pontardawe Town and Llantwit Major

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