Pontardawe Town vs Llantwit Major: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 27Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parc Ynysderw, Swansea
The Footlab model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontardawe Town vs Llantwit Major?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Pontardawe Town (1,467) and Llantwit Major (1,483).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontardawe Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Llantwit Major have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Pontardawe Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Llantwit Major win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | Llantwit Major 0-0 Pontardawe Town | FAW Championship |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Pontardawe Town 3-2 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Llantwit Major 4-1 Pontardawe Town | FAW Championship |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Pontardawe Town 0-3 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Llantwit Major vs Pontardawe Town on Mar 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Pontardawe Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Llantwit Major score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontardawe Town | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Llantwit Major | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontardawe Town sit 13th in FAW Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Llantwit Major sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontardawe Town vs Llantwit Major?
- The Footlab model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Llantwit Major.
- Where and when is Pontardawe Town vs Llantwit Major played?
- Pontardawe Town vs Llantwit Major is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parc Ynysderw, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 26, 2027Afan Lidovsllanelli AFC
- Mar 27, 2027Carmarthen TownvsNewport City
- Mar 27, 2027Caerau (Ely)vsAberystwyth Town
- Mar 27, 2027Swansea UniversityvsBaglan Dragons
- Mar 27, 2027Cardiff DraconiansvsTreowen Stars
- Mar 27, 2027Ynyshir AlbionsvsCaerphilly Athletic
- Mar 27, 2027Trethomas BluebirdsvsPontypridd Town