Racing Ferrol vs Unionistas de Salamanca: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de A Malata, Ferrol
The Footlab model makes Unionistas de Salamanca the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Unionistas de Salamanca?
Unionistas de Salamanca starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,936 vs 1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Ferrol have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Unionistas de Salamanca have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Osasuna II(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Racing Ferrol win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Unionistas de Salamanca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca 3-2 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Racing Ferrol 2-1 Unionistas de Salamanca | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 7, 2023 | Unionistas de Salamanca 1-1 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Racing Ferrol 0-1 Unionistas de Salamanca | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 7, 2022 | Unionistas de Salamanca 0-1 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Racing Ferrol 0-1 Unionistas de Salamanca | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Unionistas de Salamanca vs Racing Ferrol on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Ferrol score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unionistas de Salamanca score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Ferrol | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Unionistas de Salamanca | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Ferrol sit 12th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (49 points from 38 matches) and Unionistas de Salamanca sit 8th (56 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 56 |
| 12 | Racing Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 47 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Ferrol vs Unionistas de Salamanca?
- The Footlab model makes Unionistas de Salamanca the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Racing Ferrol.
- Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs Unionistas de Salamanca played?
- Racing Ferrol vs Unionistas de Salamanca is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.