Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion
The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Pontypridd Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aberystwyth Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Aberystwyth Town (1,670) and Pontypridd Town (1,646).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aberystwyth Town
Not enough data to predict the Aberystwyth Town lineup.
Pontypridd Town
Not enough data to predict the Pontypridd Town lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Pontypridd Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aberystwyth Town wins, 2 draws, 1 Pontypridd Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontypridd Town 1-3 Aberystwyth Town | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Pontypridd Town 0-1 Aberystwyth Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town 0-0 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Aberystwyth Town 3-0 Pontypridd Town | Premier League |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Pontypridd Town 0-0 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Pontypridd Town 2-0 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs Aberystwyth Town on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pontypridd Town score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Pontypridd Town | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aberystwyth Town sit 3rd in FAW Championship (19 points from 9 matches) and Pontypridd Town sit 2nd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 20 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 19 |
A question about Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Pontypridd Town.
- Where and when is Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town played?
- Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Park Avenue, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 27, 2026llanelli AFCvsCardiff Draconians
- Nov 27, 2026Carmarthen TownvsSwansea University
- Nov 27, 2026Afan LidovsCaerau (Ely)
- Nov 27, 2026Caerphilly AthleticvsBaglan Dragons
- Nov 27, 2026Newport CityvsPontardawe Town
- Nov 28, 2026Llantwit MajorvsTreowen Stars
- Nov 28, 2026Trethomas BluebirdsvsYnyshir Albions