Where and when is Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town played?

Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Park Avenue, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion

Aberystwyth Town

Pontypridd Town

The Footlab model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Pontypridd Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Aberystwyth Town (1,577) and Pontypridd Town (1,599).

Aberystwyth Town win46 %

Draw24 %

Pontypridd Town win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pontypridd Town have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aberystwyth Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Llantwit Major(home)	5-1	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Treowen Stars(home)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Afan Lido(away)	5-2	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Ynyshir Albions(away)	0-0	FAW Championship
Apr 11, 2026	Cwmbran Celtic(away)	1-3	FAW Championship

Pontypridd Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(home)	2-1	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(away)	4-1	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Pontardawe Town(home)	3-2	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Treowen Stars(away)	3-2	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(home)	0-0	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aberystwyth Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Pontypridd Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 26, 2025	Pontypridd Town 0-1 Aberystwyth Town	FAW Championship
Aug 16, 2025	Aberystwyth Town 0-0 Pontypridd Town	FAW Championship
Apr 21, 2024	Aberystwyth Town 3-0 Pontypridd Town	Premier League
Apr 9, 2024	Pontypridd Town 0-0 Aberystwyth Town	Premier League
Dec 26, 2023	Pontypridd Town 2-0 Aberystwyth Town	Premier League
Sep 19, 2023	Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Pontypridd Town	League Cup

Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs Aberystwyth Town on Dec 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Aberystwyth Town score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pontypridd Town score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Aberystwyth Town	1.5	1.6	4	7/15	10/15
Pontypridd Town	2.1	1.6	4	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aberystwyth Town sit 6th in FAW Championship (6 points from 3 matches) and Pontypridd Town sit 2nd (12 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Pontypridd Town	4	4	0	0	12	6	12
6	Aberystwyth Town	3	2	0	1	11	5	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town?: The Footlab model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Pontypridd Town.
Where and when is Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town played?: Aberystwyth Town vs Pontypridd Town is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Park Avenue, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.