Cheltenham vs Port Vale: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cheltenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Port Vale wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Port Vale?
Port Vale starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,669).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cheltenham vs Port Vale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cheltenham
4-2-3-1- 18A. Weimann
- 19J. Evans
- 8C. McCann
- 7B. Stevenson
- 33F. Willcox
- 17S. McWilliams
- 25P. Sweeney
- 26J. Shipley
- 6J. Wilson
- 3J. Tomkinson
- 23W. Stanway
Port Vale
3-5-2- 11O. Hernández
- 36M. Watters
- 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
- 3J. Headley
- 33G. Hall
- 10K. Dempsey
- 7G. Byers
- 25C. Humphreys
- 4J. Moon
- 5C. Hall
- 20M. Maroši
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheltenham have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Port Vale have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Manchester City U21(home) | 5-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | York(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cheltenham wins, 4 draws, 0 Port Vale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025 | Port Vale 0-0 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Cheltenham 1-1 Port Vale | League Two |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Cheltenham 3-2 Port Vale | League One |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Port Vale 1-2 Cheltenham | League One |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Cheltenham 0-0 Port Vale | League One |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Port Vale 2-2 Cheltenham | League One |
Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Cheltenham on Jan 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cheltenham score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Port Vale | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cheltenham sit 5th in League Two (21 points from 14 matches) and Port Vale sit 19th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 21 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 15 |
A question about Cheltenham vs Port Vale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cheltenham vs Port Vale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cheltenham.
- Where and when is Cheltenham vs Port Vale played?
- Cheltenham vs Port Vale is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Completely-Suzuki Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.