Rotherham vs Rochdale: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham, South Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Rotherham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rotherham vs Rochdale?
Rochdale starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,721).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rotherham vs Rochdale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rotherham
3-4-1-2- 10P. Mullin
- 9T. Bradshaw
- 12D. Hall
- 4J. Austerfield
- 24J. Buyabu
- 28Brandon Ashley Cover
- 6O. Ashley
- 14Sonny Aljofree
- 27D. Iorfa
- 26H. Douglas
- 13J. Eyestone
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 17B. Adeeko
- 8H. Gilmour
- 45G. Middleton
- 21Kane Taylor
- 7C. Hayes
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 2C. Tasker
- 44A. Flint
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 20Sam William John Waller
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rotherham have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Rochdale have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rotherham win, 1 draw, 4 Rochdale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2021 | Rochdale 2-2 Rotherham | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Rochdale 3-1 Rotherham | League One |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Rotherham 0-1 Rochdale | League One |
| Mar 10, 2018 | Rotherham 0-1 Rochdale | League One |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Rochdale 0-1 Rotherham | League One |
| Dec 7, 2013 | Rotherham 1-2 Rochdale | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Rochdale vs Rotherham on Jul 20, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Rotherham score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotherham | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Rochdale | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rotherham sit 23rd in League Two (10 points from 11 matches) and Rochdale sit 13th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rochdale | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
A question about Rotherham vs Rochdale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rotherham vs Rochdale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Rotherham.
- Where and when is Rotherham vs Rochdale played?
- Rotherham vs Rochdale is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AESSEAL New York Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.