Preston vs Wolves: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Deepdale, Preston
The Footlab model makes Wolves the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Preston. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Preston vs Wolves?
Wolves starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,986 vs 1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preston have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Wolves have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marine(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Preston win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Wolves win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2022 | Wolves 2-1 Preston | League Cup |
| Feb 17, 2018 | Preston 1-1 Wolves | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Wolves 3-2 Preston | Championship |
| May 7, 2017 | Wolves 1-0 Preston | Championship |
| Nov 19, 2016 | Preston 0-0 Wolves | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Wolves 1-2 Preston | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Preston score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wolves score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Wolves | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Preston sit 19th in Championship (0 points from 1 matches) and Wolves sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wolves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Preston | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Who is out?
8 reported absence(s) for this match.
- J. BellegardeWolvesOut(Inactive)
- K. TrippierWolvesOut(Knee Injury)
- R. SaïdWolvesOut(Inactive)
- S. JohnstoneWolvesOut(Knock)
- Xu BinWolvesDoubtful(Injury)
- Y. MosqueraWolvesOut(Ankle Injury)
- B. PottsPrestonOut(Injury)
- Theo CarrollPrestonOut(Ankle Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Preston vs Wolves?
- The Footlab model makes Wolves the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Preston.
- Where and when is Preston vs Wolves played?
- Preston vs Wolves is played on August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Deepdale, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.