Southampton vs Stoke City: result 3-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Southampton vs Stoke City?
Southampton won 3-1 on August 22, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 8′C. LarinSouthampton
- 26′E. GalbraithStoke City
- 89′D. MubamaSouthampton
- 90′R. ManningSouthampton (pen.)
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Southampton win at 60%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Southampton vs Stoke City
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Southampton
4-2-3-1- 9C. Larin
- 7Léo Scienza
- 10F. Azaz
- 18T. Fellows
- 27K. Matsuki
- 4F. Downes
- 3R. Manning
- 5J. Stephens
- 15N. Wood-Gordon
- 14J. Bree
- 1Daniel Peretz
Stoke City
4-2-3-1- 15G. Hirst
- 7S. Thomas
- 10Bae Jun-Ho
- 20S. Gallagher
- 8E. Galbraith
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 17E. Bocat
- 23B. Gibson
- 16B. Wilmot
- 2B. Johnson
- 1V. Johansson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Stoke City have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Watford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oldham(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Everton(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Southampton wins, 1 draw, 2 Stoke City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Stoke City 0-2 Southampton | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Southampton 1-2 Stoke City | Championship |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Southampton 3-2 Stoke City | League Cup |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Southampton 0-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Stoke City 0-1 Southampton | Championship |
| Mar 3, 2018 | Southampton 0-0 Stoke City | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Stoke City vs Southampton on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.2 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 2.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton sit 7th in Championship (24 points from 14 matches) and Stoke City sit 4th (26 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 24 |
A question about Southampton vs Stoke City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy