QPR vs Bolton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)MATRADE Loftus Road, London
The Footlab model makes QPR the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Bolton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win QPR vs Bolton?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate QPR (1,856) and Bolton (1,908).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, QPR have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bolton have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fiorentina(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Everton(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 QPR win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bolton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | QPR 1-2 Bolton | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Bolton 1-2 QPR | Championship |
| Feb 17, 2018 | QPR 2-0 Bolton | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Bolton 1-1 QPR | Championship |
| Feb 20, 2016 | Bolton 1-1 QPR | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2015 | QPR 4-3 Bolton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
QPR score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bolton score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QPR | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Bolton | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
QPR sit 1st in Championship (3 points from 1 matches) and Bolton sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QPR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Bolton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Who is out?
4 reported absence(s) for this match.
- Ruben RodriguesBoltonOut(Knee Injury)
- B. KemperQPROut(Ankle Injury)
- K. DembéléQPROut(Knee Injury)
- Rayan Jawad KolliQPROut(Coach's decision)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for QPR vs Bolton?
- The Footlab model makes QPR the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Bolton.
- Where and when is QPR vs Bolton played?
- QPR vs Bolton is played on August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at MATRADE Loftus Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.