Derby vs Cardiff: result 2-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Cardiff?
Derby and Cardiff drew 2-2 on August 22, 2026.
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Derby win at 48%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Derby vs Cardiff
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Derby
4-2-3-1- 9C. Morris
- 33C. Blackett-Taylor
- 29O. Fraulo
- 8B. Clark
- 20A. Mowatt
- 27L. Travis
- 18C. Taylor
- 6S. Langås
- 28D. Sanderson
- 22M. Johnston
- 1J. Widell Zetterström
Cardiff
4-2-3-1- 9Y. Salech
- 45Cian Ashford
- 10R. Colwill
- 11O. Tanner
- 18A. Robertson
- 8J. Moylan
- 23C. Scanlon
- 3J. Bagan
- 38P. Ng
- 44R. Kpakio
- 1N. Trott
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Cardiff have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Cork City(away) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Derby win, 1 draw, 4 Cardiff wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Cardiff 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Derby 1-0 Cardiff | Championship |
| May 7, 2022 | Derby 0-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2022 | Cardiff 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2021 | Cardiff 4-0 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 28, 2020 | Derby 1-1 Cardiff | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff score 2.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Cardiff | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 23rd in Championship (6 points from 9 matches) and Cardiff sit 18th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Derby vs Cardiff?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy