PSV Eindhoven vs ADO Den Haag: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
The Footlab model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs ADO Den Haag?
PSV Eindhoven is a heavy favourite: 2,219 Elo points against 1,859 — a 360-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSV Eindhoven have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; ADO Den Haag have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-4 | Super Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 PSV Eindhoven win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 ADO Den Haag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | PSV Eindhoven 3-1 ADO Den Haag | KNVB Beker |
| Feb 13, 2021 | ADO Den Haag 2-2 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Nov 1, 2020 | PSV Eindhoven 4-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Feb 15, 2020 | ADO Den Haag 0-3 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Aug 11, 2019 | PSV Eindhoven 3-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Apr 21, 2019 | PSV Eindhoven 3-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PSV Eindhoven vs ADO Den Haag on Mar 2, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
PSV Eindhoven score 3.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 3.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd in Eredivisie (7 points from 3 matches) and ADO Den Haag sit 17th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSV Eindhoven vs ADO Den Haag?
- The Footlab model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is PSV Eindhoven vs ADO Den Haag played?
- PSV Eindhoven vs ADO Den Haag is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Philips Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.