Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
The Footlab AI model makes Groningen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Sparta Rotterdam. The most likely score is 1-1. If Groningen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Sparta Rotterdam (1,882) and Groningen (1,937).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sparta Rotterdam
5-4-1- 9M. Zonneveld
- 11I. Babadi
- 8J. Toornstra
- 7Robin van Cruijsen
- 16J. Baas
- 5B. Kuipers
- 3M. Young
- 2L. Martes
- 4B. Martins Indi
- 6N. Verschuren
- 1M. Brouwer
Groningen
4-2-3-1- 9B. Willumsson
- 24P. Clement
- 8T. de Jonge
- 26T. van Bergen
- 17D. van der Werff
- 11J. Ondrejka
- 3T. Blokzijl
- 14J. Schreuders
- 5M. Rente
- 33H. Hateboer
- 1E. Vaessen
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Rotterdam have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Groningen have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Sparta Rotterdam wins, 0 draws, 1 Groningen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 5-2 Groningen | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Groningen 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Groningen 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| May 28, 2023 | Groningen 0-5 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Rotterdam score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Groningen score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Groningen | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Rotterdam sit 13th in Eredivisie (9 points from 9 matches) and Groningen sit 7th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 14 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 9 |
A question about Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Groningen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Sparta Rotterdam.
- Where and when is Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen played?
- Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.