NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II: prediction and stats
EredivisieMatchday 20Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Willem II. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II?
NEC Nijmegen starts as the favourite with a 260-point Elo edge (2,091 vs 1,831).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 20N. Lebreton
- 9T. Chery
- 34Kevin Kers
- 99Clement Bischoff
- 35Jamiro Monteiro
- 22A. Kaplan
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 1G. Crettaz
Willem II
4-2-3-1- 9D. Haen
- 32V. van Crooij
- 19Uriel van Aalst
- 6C. Twigt
- 18Anass Zarrouk
- 52T. Vilhena
- 5H. ter Avest
- 24N. Tjoe-A-On
- 3F. Stam
- 23M. Dekker
- 26M. Delanghe
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 11:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Willem II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 31, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-7 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 1-6 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 NEC Nijmegen wins, 2 draws, 1 Willem II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Willem II 1-4 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| May 3, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Willem II 4-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Dec 22, 2021 | Willem II 0-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2021 | NEC Nijmegen 0-0 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Jan 15, 2017 | Willem II 0-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NEC Nijmegen score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Willem II score 1.2 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Willem II | 1.2 | 2.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEC Nijmegen sit 11th in Eredivisie (14 points from 12 matches) and Willem II sit 18th (3 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 14 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 3 |
A question about NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Willem II.
- Where and when is NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II played?
- NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Goffertstadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.